Key-Making
0x26a0ce611de4d269ae71377465efded0719e716a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$57.89
Total PnL
$-13.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
19 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.23
$4.23
- NO
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?
13 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$13.36
$1.76
- NO
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?
13 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.79
$1.79
- YES
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.50
$7.50
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?
12 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?
10 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.90
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
6 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$13.89Oct 17, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$11.98Sep 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$24.99Sep 13, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?$1.10Sep 6, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJapan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?$6.80Sep 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England rate cut in 2025?$5.00Sep 4, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $11.60Sep 4, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$4.50Sep 4, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $104K on September 3?$25.84Sep 4, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $104K on September 3?$22.40Sep 1, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?$10.60Aug 26, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125K in August?$14.96Aug 26, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$21.51Aug 8, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$20.65Aug 8, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?$5.00Aug 4, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$11.00Aug 4, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?$11.00Aug 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?$10.00Aug 4, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza mass population relocation in 2025?$11.00Aug 4, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$15.00Aug 4, 16:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $12.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 4, 05:47 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.