Wilted-Dahlia
0x26b67131802d668d6fbe2346825068fb0f4d94b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-512.89
Realised
$-62.69
Win rate
11%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on May 24?
7030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 24?
5650 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 25?
3130 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 24?
743 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 24?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 4?
329 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C or below on June 23?
266 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 25?
218 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or below on May 26?
217 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?
155 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 28?$1.48Jun 28, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?$0.70Jun 28, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?$1.66Jun 28, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 29?$1.24Jun 28, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 29?$3.51Jun 28, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 28?$0.25Jun 28, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 28?$0.71Jun 28, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 28?$2.23Jun 28, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or below on June 27?$3.16Jun 27, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?$4.50Jun 27, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?$1.90Jun 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?$1.05Jun 26, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?$0.25Jun 26, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 26?$1.23Jun 26, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?$1.04Jun 26, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 26?$1.34Jun 26, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 26?$1.03Jun 26, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 26?$1.03Jun 26, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?$1.25Jun 26, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 26?$0.68Jun 26, 00:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
36 closed markets, 11% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 00:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.