Virtuous-Staff
0x26ba2a3a10ac30b456ab3d1808841b7241750c96
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.83
Realised
$-3.18
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 28?
682 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 18, 9PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 29?
437 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
267 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- ILYA IVASHKA
Busan: Liam Broady vs Ilya Ivashka
243 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on October 30?
185 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
178 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$5.16Jun 11, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$4.76Jun 11, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$10.36Jun 11, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.83May 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$5.39May 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$11.08May 28, 10:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.21May 27, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.38May 26, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.17May 23, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.33May 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?$5.03May 21, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$0.00May 21, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$5.29May 21, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.17May 21, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.12May 21, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBusan: Liam Broady vs Ilya Ivashka$5.00Apr 16, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea$2.41Apr 15, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpen Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Fiona Ferro vs Sorana Cirstea$5.00Apr 15, 14:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 31?$0.00Apr 15, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 3, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 04:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.