Messy-Drag
0x26bada8a7e070e1010b194d1dd7c1280569f96a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
138 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 100-109 times?
131 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
116 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?
105 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?
102 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
57 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.45
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
38 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$45.91Feb 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$12.45Jan 27, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$16.53Jan 26, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$1.29Jan 26, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.04Oct 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.01Oct 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win California Presidential Election?$0.06Oct 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.00Oct 18, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 18, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 18, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNeither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?$0.12Oct 18, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.00Oct 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 17, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 17, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 17, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maryland US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 17, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $15.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 12:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".