0x26bb798464eae4c24b2ddba0ea68d792e5a203cf
0x26bb798464eae4c24b2ddba0ea68d792e5a203cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$824.02
Total PnL
$93.22
Realised
$45.94
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
185 shares @ 67.7¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$128.57
$3.23
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
203 shares @ 42.6¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$104.35
$17.94
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
85 shares @ 76.6¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.39
$6.27
- YES
Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?
60 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$60.15
$0.42
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
52 shares @ 77.8¢·now 86.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$44.88
$4.51
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
37 shares @ 70.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$33.96
$8.24
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
31 shares @ 92.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$31.17
$1.95
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
30 shares @ 47.2¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.21
$15.87
- YES
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 85.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$29.01
$4.01
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
32 shares @ 79.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.69
$2.69
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$8.76Jun 23, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$8.92Jun 23, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of June 22 2026?$4.52Jun 23, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $6 in June?$7.92Jun 23, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $6 in June?$7.90Jun 23, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun reach $0.0038 by December 31, 2026?$2.16Jun 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?$2.17Jun 23, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$6.55Jun 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$6.43Jun 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$3.11Jun 23, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$3.06Jun 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$5.68Jun 23, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan win on 2026-06-22?$5.02Jun 23, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$54.35Jun 23, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Adidas" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?$5.75Jun 23, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$0.00Jun 23, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$50.12Jun 23, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-22?$54.35Jun 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-06-22?$0.64Jun 23, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: France 3 - 2 Iraq?$1.36Jun 23, 01:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 08:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.