Definite-Sociology
0x26c20dc0c63c430af8af5d55356714bf0b2ff31d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$33.74
Total PnL
$-24.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 43.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.28
$1.28
- NO
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
2 shares @ 64.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.55
$0.55
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.47
$0.47
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will TikTok be banned in 2025?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.15
$0.15
- NO
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump Mobile smartphone released before September?$1.05Oct 2, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$1.08Oct 2, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMApple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?$1.11Oct 2, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party by August 31?$1.11Oct 2, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by August 31?$1.19Oct 2, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party before October?$1.43Oct 2, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by December 31?$2.05Aug 29, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 8?$17.04Aug 7, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal spending decrease by less than $250b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?$1.01Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?$1.01Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok-4 be the top AI before August?$1.01Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk with Brazil president in July?$1.01Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before August?$1.02Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$1.02Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?$1.02Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser in July?$1.02Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$1.03Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon register the America Party in July?$1.04Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMNew X CEO announced by July 31?$1.04Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by July 31?$1.06Aug 2, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $1.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 2, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.