Negligible-Constraint
0x26cc7fc45dc279791e135e1b5a772d1b1cc05307
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$907.33
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$-9.72
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8301 shares @ 9.9¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$726.34
$-95.46
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11354 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$175.99
$-28.39
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.00
$0.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3PM ET
541 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
532 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-276.48
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
476 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
401 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-220.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
373 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-39.91
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
340 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 17, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".