Wallet digest

active

Activity score

58/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$12.94

Total PnL

$-48.20

Realised

$1.27

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026
$10.70
$5.78
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026
$2.24
$1.25
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
55 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026
$0.00
$-4.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
37 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-17.72
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
23 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-11.81
UP
Solana Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
17 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-8.86
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - February 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$0.00
$-5.02
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026
$0.00
$-4.93
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
5 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026
$0.00
$-0.20

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 01:08 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 01:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:49 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:49 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Mar 23, 00:48 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$10.94Mar 22, 23:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:23 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:23 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:22 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:22 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:18 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:17 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00Mar 22, 23:17 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity30 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry73 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk67 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 15
Avg trade size: $5.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 12, 04:45 UTC
Last active: Mar 23, 01:08 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 04:36:21 UTC·src:Polymarket Data