Frightening-Nibble
0x26db2fba94385cadd23a960ab036a1aacffa7abc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$202.00
Total PnL
$-16.8K
Realised
$367.78
Win rate
91%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- SWEDEN
World Championships: Denmark vs. Sweden
208 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$202.00
$11.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
14752 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-348.97
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?
7333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
4262 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-446.13
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
2289 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-968.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7AM ET
2172 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-570.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8AM ET
2000 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-839.98
- NO
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?
1713 shares @ 51.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-880.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5AM ET
1705 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-650.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?
1222 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Denmark vs. Sweden$191.46May 17, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$191.84Apr 23, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$38.88Apr 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.00Apr 22, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?$1.00Apr 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$18.97Apr 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$25.90Apr 22, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$90.00Apr 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$10.00Apr 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$50.00Apr 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$50.00Apr 12, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00Apr 12, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00Apr 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$100.00Apr 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$87.50Mar 16, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?$86.78Mar 4, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$0.72Mar 4, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?$50.30Mar 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$50.30Mar 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$67.76Mar 2, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $68.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 19:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".