Thoughtful-Summary
0x26e3a654143c603d264fa0790a3691abcef45a07
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$120.00
Total PnL
$-4.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$100.00
$12.00
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$20.00
$1.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
20 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 29?$88.00Dec 30, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$19.00Nov 26, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.20Nov 21, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$10.00Nov 21, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$35.55Nov 21, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?$7.60Nov 18, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$20.00Nov 14, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$30.00Nov 14, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$9.88Nov 8, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$6.60Nov 8, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$16.80Nov 8, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$2.20Nov 4, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.14Nov 4, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$20.49Nov 4, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$2.95Oct 31, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?$20.00Oct 31, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 31, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Oct 31, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$31.91Oct 31, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$28.29Oct 31, 02:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $36.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 1, 00:28 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 01:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.