Exhausted-Hospitalization
0x26ef539a5021423436fe12b58464428037f77a63
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Solana reach $170 December 1-7?
530 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-14.60
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
286 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?
128 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.95
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Maduro out in 2025?
68 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.56
- YES
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?$10.00Dec 5, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 December 1-7?$5.44Dec 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 December 1-7?$8.56Dec 4, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 4, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 4, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$10.00Dec 4, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $170 December 1-7?$0.60Dec 4, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$10.00Dec 4, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kast win by 20% to 25%?$10.00Dec 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$11.56Dec 4, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?$10.95Dec 4, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Dec 4, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $8.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 5, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.