Complete-Ecosystem
0x26efb6cbf77d02ef4ccba22d1d884a1aa2cce552
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-72.41
Realised
$-6.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
91783 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$963.73
$447.90
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9890 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$103.84
$64.28
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
109999 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$55.00
$-218.90
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
35000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$52.50
$-17.50
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
99999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$50.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$48.01Jul 3, 23:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.36Jul 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.50Jul 1, 13:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$10.29Jun 30, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$30.82Jun 30, 19:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $10.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.