Cumbersome-Barge
0x26efdfbf3f20b86e5cf631136fb5ae598e0fa308
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$-385.83
Realised
$-448.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
9201 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.2K
$169.26
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
103 shares @ 77.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.59
$23.44
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
25 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.53
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.17Mar 31, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$9.0KMar 31, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$114.00Mar 31, 13:57 UTC
- MERGEUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$1.0KMar 31, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$134.23Mar 31, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$568.80Mar 30, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$379.20Mar 30, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$9.0KMar 30, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$79.15Feb 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$7.1KJan 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$42.10Jan 30, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$1.2KJan 30, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$7.25Jan 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$2.46Jan 30, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$669.16Jan 30, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$9.0KJan 30, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$8.5KJan 12, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMCap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?$1.1KJan 12, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$501.97Dec 11, 14:27 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.1KDec 11, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $865.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.