Splendid-Bachelor
0x26f3d7a58d7e896379b94270a129c91491ee32e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.8M
Realised
$-43.5K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
7302545 shares @ 39.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.9M
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
1123531 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-694.6K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
402058 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.6K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
248352 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.8K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
174944 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.8K
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
146483 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-37.3K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?
122312 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-22.4K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
62907 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- NO
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
19037 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-16.4K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
16311 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
Recent activity
- REWARD$54.12Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.34Nov 6, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.46Nov 6, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$6.30Nov 6, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$766.77Nov 6, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$211.8KNov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.8KNov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$76.00Nov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.6KNov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$155.80Nov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.5KNov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.6KNov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$35.8KNov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.1KNov 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2.3KNov 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.4KNov 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$147.56Nov 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$31.41Nov 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.7KNov 6, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$26.22Nov 6, 00:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.