Real-Marten
0x26faac28ac78dd073bf0bcd299a8c10ac7b26313
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
110
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-332.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on June 4?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Selma Bartholomew gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1820 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Jessica Ramos gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Zellnor Myrie gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Félix González win the Chilean presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will federal spending decrease by $1-2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 74°F or higher on June 4?$1.00Jun 3, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.01Jun 2, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?$1.00Jun 2, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMJazz vs. Kings$1.69Mar 18, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Nuggets$1.00Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Magic$2.00Mar 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Pelicans$3.00Mar 16, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Hawks$2.40Mar 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Kings$1.00Mar 16, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Spurs$2.90Mar 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Raptors$2.00Mar 15, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Spurs$2.00Mar 14, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pacers$3.08Mar 14, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Spurs$3.97Mar 14, 18:57 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Clippers$4.35Mar 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Celtics$1.00Mar 14, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$2.00Mar 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. Clippers$1.30Mar 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Heat$2.30Mar 12, 23:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 13:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".