Insistent-Hovel
0x270ff64c00dfe74a80c7076190a73ffb708bb860
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$11.06
Total PnL
$-7.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.06
$1.06
- NO
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.17
$1.17
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- YES
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15?
7 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$1.00Jan 5, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?$1.00Jan 5, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Girona FC win on 2026-01-04?$1.43Jan 4, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-01-04?$1.00Jan 4, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-04?$1.00Jan 4, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by January 15?$1.00Jan 3, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?$1.00Jan 3, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15?$0.00Jan 3, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$0.00Jan 3, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$0.00Jan 3, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$0.00Jan 3, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?$4.05Jan 3, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?$1.53Dec 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?$1.00Dec 30, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$1.00Dec 30, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?$1.79Dec 30, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$1.00Dec 29, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 22:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.