Frozen-Headache
0x27147b94be928073c72ab24e3df9aa34191443dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-98.67
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- UP
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 10?
54413 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-56.86
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 25?
11315 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-89.69
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26?
10400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?
10005 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.21
- UP
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 24?
9347 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?
6976 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.98
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?
4000 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-257.30
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?
3500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-47.70
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?
2641 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.01
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?
2100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.5KJul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.46Jun 29, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $457.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 18:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.