Whopping-Civilian
0x27150dd04e74c94af56f2784c6edf24c86b547b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$39.73
Total PnL
$-289.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.62
$0.62
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.90
$-3.10
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.29
$1.29
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
43 shares @ 14.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$-2.80
- YES
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 53.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.80
$-0.20
- YES
NATO dissolves before 2027?
53 shares @ 9.4¢·now 2.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.51
$-3.49
- YES
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
21 shares @ 14.1¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.87
$-2.13
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
36 shares @ 5.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-1.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$10.08Jun 19, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$24.49Jun 19, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$2.04May 31, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$10.15May 31, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$1.03May 26, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland$3.07May 26, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$7.26May 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.00Mar 4, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.99Mar 4, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$2.00Mar 3, 18:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin reach $0.15 in February?$7.79Mar 3, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 28, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$5.00Feb 28, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$2.00Feb 28, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$9.38Feb 28, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$6.69Feb 28, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$0.00Feb 27, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Feb 27, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$2.00Feb 27, 20:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.