Tall-Teapot
0x271e08a3d78febfbe0c8bb2e7a8e0ef440118eb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-6.44
Win rate
8%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 8?
190 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-98.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 14?
180 shares @ 75.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-135.18
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?
156 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-104.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?
124 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.97
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 30?
118 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-90.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 14?
90 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-70.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?
80 shares @ 86.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-68.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 11?
75 shares @ 33.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-24.82
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?
70 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-48.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$10.10Aug 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.00Aug 19, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$5.00Aug 19, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Aug 19, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$5.00Aug 19, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$4.40Aug 12, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$5.33Aug 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$4.00Aug 12, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$3.94Aug 12, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$0.01Aug 12, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$4.36Aug 12, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$5.41Aug 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.01Aug 11, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$3.99Aug 11, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$5.71Aug 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.43Aug 11, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$2.57Aug 11, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
8% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 19:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 16:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.