Tasty-Hemp
0x272be84f75585984aabf530d8a8fe8de1d7c9b91
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$12.42
Total PnL
$-19.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?
9 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$9.32
$0.18
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
2 shares @ 93.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.60
$0.10
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
22 shares @ 91.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$9.00Nov 7, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$0.15Nov 7, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMFalcons vs. Patriots$1.28Nov 7, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMPanthers vs. Packers$8.44Nov 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanthers vs. Packers$2.11Nov 2, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFalcons vs. Patriots$1.20Nov 2, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Girona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$0.00Oct 26, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMUCLA vs. Indiana$3.31Oct 26, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUCLA vs. Indiana$3.11Oct 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?$20.00Oct 25, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$20.00Oct 25, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$0.00Oct 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$0.00Oct 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 90 times July 25–August 1?$0.00Oct 25, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?$1.00Oct 25, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 240–254 times July 25–August 1?$1.00Oct 25, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun reach $0.010 before August?$1.00Oct 25, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.