Well-To-Do-Factory
0x272e4634a5b389655224e1150286caaaad1df4e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$1.65
Total PnL
$-62.55
Realised
$4.09
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.72
$-0.28
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 10AM ET
1021 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 6?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
173 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.46
- YES
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?$1.00Mar 25, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Banana Republic" in March?$1.00Mar 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "N Word" in March?$1.00Mar 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.44Mar 8, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Mar 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.65Mar 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.00Mar 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$5.00Mar 6, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$9.05Mar 6, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$6.00Mar 6, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.14Mar 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.61Mar 6, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Mar 6, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$3.45Mar 6, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$2.00Mar 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.38Mar 6, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.