Familiar-Progression
0x27392d5602dc9553f1ff02d207fe725988460528
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$177.99
Total PnL
$32.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$109.77May 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$27.28May 4, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$137.80May 4, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$134.35Apr 13, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$134.36Apr 13, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$102.11Mar 12, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$102.12Mar 12, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$101.39Feb 25, 02:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$13.39Feb 8, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$67.83Feb 8, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$67.83Feb 8, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$62.47Jan 22, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 14?$62.47Jan 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 14?$62.41Jan 14, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$62.41Jan 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$60.35Dec 20, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$60.35Dec 20, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$59.63Nov 28, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?$29.62Nov 28, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2800 in October?$30.00Nov 28, 11:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $73.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.