Half-Impress
0x2746bf356f11ebe39e665b4a6e984fee832fc1a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-486.78
Realised
$7.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20?
70000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 8?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 13?
49506 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-49.51
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?
29663 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-29.66
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 2?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on March 2?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 27?
16973 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-16.97
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 9?
15998 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 16?
10369 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$60.00Jun 16, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$5.25Jun 16, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$1.73Jun 10, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$10.85Jun 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?$28.67Jun 10, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 10?$10.01Jun 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.40 in June?$0.00Jun 10, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.60 in June?$2.77Jun 9, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$1.05Jun 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.00Jun 8, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$1.00Jun 8, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$6.49Jun 8, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$6.91Jun 8, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.50Jun 8, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.07Jun 8, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.70Jun 8, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.30Jun 8, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.30Jun 8, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.01Jun 8, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$0.20Jun 8, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 13:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.