0x275cf5a28574d4e5b11fe296cd57ea5da4e5d09d
0x275cf5a28574d4e5b11fe296cd57ea5da4e5d09d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$28.14
Total PnL
$-263.93
Realised
$-114.84
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
15 shares @ 87.9¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.90
$1.72
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
9 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$7.37
$0.76
- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
4 shares @ 90.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.00
$0.39
- YES
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-2.25
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
250 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.88
- YES
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
1708 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-55.60
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
1085 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-19.41
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be less than 0.5%?
500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
333 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$0.63Feb 16, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Clippers finish with the best record in the NBA?$0.95Feb 15, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.82Feb 14, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$1.78Feb 14, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?$0.26Feb 12, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.70Feb 12, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$0.35Feb 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$0.35Feb 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$0.33Feb 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$0.77Feb 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$0.97Feb 12, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$0.95Feb 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.69Feb 12, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?$0.20Feb 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?$4.29Feb 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?$1.21Feb 12, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.55Feb 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.69Feb 12, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.73Feb 12, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$1.86Feb 12, 07:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.