Negative-Luck
0x2763dfa6dcee55a746712afdf854164b8f417776
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$7.25
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-350.40
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 26?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$7.25
$2.17
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
3200 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-93.40
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2600 in May?
2950 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-230.08
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 before 2026?
1495 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-354.98
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
1267 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-440.06
- NO
Will Solana reach $180 in July?
1196 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-574.47
- NO
Will Solana reach $210 in August?
542 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-193.38
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on October 16?
500 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-165.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?
375 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.76
- NO
Will Solana reach $225 in September?
370 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-92.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$38.40Nov 4, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$31.00Nov 4, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$24.00Nov 4, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $190 in November?$50.44Nov 2, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $190 in November?$32.10Nov 1, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $180 on November 2?$1.80Nov 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $180 on November 2?$1.80Nov 1, 17:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $190 in November?$0.07Nov 1, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$14.80Nov 1, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $190 in November?$7.20Nov 1, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$7.41Nov 1, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $190 in November?$60.00Nov 1, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$60.00Nov 1, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $190 in November?$48.10Nov 1, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$46.67Nov 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $190 on October 26?$5.08Oct 25, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$4.36Oct 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 20?$180.00Oct 19, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 20?$220.00Oct 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 20?$111.08Oct 19, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $53.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 22:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".