Squiggly-Marriage
0x2768734283ba9167194dc277b25ccf43bfe092d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-257.20
Realised
$-8.72
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on May 14?
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or higher on May 17?
300 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 12?
183 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 8?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C or higher on May 3?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 17?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 18?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 12?
100 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 17?
99 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on May 22?
98 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 23?$30.00May 23, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?$20.00May 22, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?$17.32May 22, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?$0.73May 22, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 23?$2.43May 22, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?$9.08May 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 22?$1.46May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 22?$2.41May 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?$0.58May 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?$8.47May 22, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 24?$3.01May 22, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 24?$8.07May 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 24?$6.74May 22, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 22?$2.57May 22, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 22?$6.58May 22, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 23?$3.72May 22, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 23?$10.38May 22, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 22?$1.30May 22, 04:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 22?$2.49May 22, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 22?$9.61May 22, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 08:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 18:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.