Firsthand-Hydrocarbon
0x276be4c89b2f398ddae888fc94b919e3ae9f5dca
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-591.15
Realised
$-268.30
Win rate
21%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
100 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-47.78
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-91.01
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
98 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-53.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
98 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
34 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.41
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
20 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
20 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
10 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
10 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.84May 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$3.29May 15, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$3.06May 15, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$10.00May 15, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$5.37May 15, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$9.91May 15, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.00Apr 30, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.00Apr 30, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$9.72Apr 30, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 30, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$9.77Apr 30, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$15.00Apr 30, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 30, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$14.72Apr 30, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$0.25Mar 23, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.80Mar 23, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Mar 23, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.20Mar 23, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2.00Mar 23, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$45.15Mar 23, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$21.24Mar 23, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$23.46Mar 23, 05:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.