Hot-Pillow
0x276c98055273306aa8a892b6fe08f1f637ce374f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-474.77
Realised
$-3.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 12PM ET
2361 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-46.70
- YES
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?
1484 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 7?
1389 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 12PM ET
1049 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 7?
778 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?
570 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?
354 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ET
294 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
263 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
192 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-36.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$27.17Apr 7, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$9.38Apr 7, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$8.95Apr 7, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$49.00Apr 7, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$15.00Mar 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10?$5.00Mar 10, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-10?$5.00Mar 10, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$100.00Mar 10, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norwich City FC win on 2026-03-07?$29.00Mar 8, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$37.00Mar 3, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$147.05Mar 3, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$25.00Mar 3, 17:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$24.64Mar 3, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$12.00Mar 3, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$15.00Mar 3, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 6, 1PM ET$70.00Feb 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 7?$50.00Feb 6, 18:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $27.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".