Cavernous-Dare
0x277e4d280622775b1fa20d7b99b73af9d1145527
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$1.76
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2346 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2345 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
2344 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2344 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2341 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2340 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2340 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
2338 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.01Mar 24, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.03Mar 24, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.01Feb 6, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan strikes Kabul by December 31?$1.01Jan 9, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$2.3KDec 25, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.2KDec 25, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$662.09Dec 25, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$506.42Dec 25, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.3KDec 25, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.2KDec 25, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$58.58Dec 25, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.1KDec 25, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.3KDec 25, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.2KDec 25, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.2KDec 25, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Dec 25, 08:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $539.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".