0x277f95cec512b429728c20cb4e791d53a327dfc8
0x277f95cec512b429728c20cb4e791d53a327dfc8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$44.77
Total PnL
$-4.47
Realised
$-0.21
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?
14 shares @ 92.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$12.28
$-0.80
- NO
Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
4 shares @ 86.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.36
$-0.91
- YES
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of July 4?
2 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.19
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.13
$-0.05
- YES
Will the announcers say "Crazy" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$2.06
$0.97
- NO
Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
3 shares @ 59.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.78
$0.00
- YES
Will the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?
5 shares @ 47.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.54
$-0.63
- NO
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$0.13
- NO
Will "The Cure - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of July 4?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.22
$0.13
- NO
Will the announcers say "Knee" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$1.12
$0.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "History" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?$1.01Jun 26, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "History" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?$0.09Jun 26, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.01Jun 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Handball" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.09Jun 26, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.02Jun 26, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Trump" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.02Jun 26, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.01Jun 26, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.09Jun 26, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.02Jun 26, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Knee" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?$1.11Jun 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Atmosphere" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$0.01Jun 26, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Atmosphere" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$0.40Jun 26, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Momentum" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$0.56Jun 26, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Verticality" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.04Jun 26, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.03Jun 26, 07:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Handball" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.01Jun 26, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Historic" during the Jordan vs Argentina FIFA World Cup Match?$0.01Jun 26, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Crazy" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?$1.12Jun 26, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Real Madrid" during the Uruguay vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?$0.01Jun 26, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the announcers say "Hydration Break" 5+ times during the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup Match?$0.00Jun 26, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.