Thrifty-Marketer
0x278f92ecf3cd025ae78397dc50559c7f9519715f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-847.03
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?
400 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-362.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Golf" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
143 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-67.09
- NO
Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
140 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-80.80
- YES
Will "The Smashing Machine" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?
100 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.75
- YES
Will "The Strangers: Chapter 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 5.75m?
100 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-71.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 30?
65 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.05
- NO
Will Philip Morris International (PM) beat quarterly earnings?
60 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-11.60
- NO
Will Northrop Grumman (NOC) beat quarterly earnings?
60 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-36.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 30?
50 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLVikings vs. Chargers$0.95Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end October 23-26?$0.89Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$0.94Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$0.95Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$0.93Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLPenguins vs. Panthers$0.97Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.99Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.97Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$0.98Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.79Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$2.86Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?$4.41Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Oct 23, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYVikings vs. Chargers$1.00Oct 23, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Panthers$1.00Oct 23, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 23, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.00Oct 23, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Oct 23, 21:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $5.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 23, 21:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".