Vivacious-Measles-Soybean
0x279df3886767dfa7aae4fa0010c5d2e12f655e89
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-80.21
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5
2672 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-599.75
- UNDER
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 1.5
1220 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-38.16
- OVER
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5
1015 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.25
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: 1st Half O/U 0.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 1st Half O/U 2.5
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5
976 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.14
- NO
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
928 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-28.03
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5
893 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$5.83Jul 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.18Jul 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.87Jul 23, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.59Jul 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.33Jul 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.88Jul 20, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.76Jul 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.81Jul 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.75Jul 16, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.03Jul 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.46Jul 14, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$52.21Jul 13, 01:02 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$17.51Jul 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$27.08Jul 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.43Jul 10, 00:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$6.41Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.75Jul 9, 00:48 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.76Jul 8, 00:55 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$58.29Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$140.73Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $57.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 20:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.