Raw-Fascia
0x27a009edb11387ddd402140d770386d16364cd28
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
140
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$-198.32
Win rate
35%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 140- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3922 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
2565 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
1654 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-661.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
1189 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-280.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
1156 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-307.69
- YES
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?
1143 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
1140 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-394.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
1099 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-450.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
1044 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
1009 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$161.11Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gable Steveson win by KO or TKO?$160.00Jul 12, 00:48 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.11Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gable Steveson win by KO or TKO?$121.50Jul 12, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$240.05Jul 11, 23:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luke Riley win by KO or TKO?$361.13Jul 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luke Riley win by KO or TKO?$145.14Jul 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)$145.30Jul 11, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Wang Cong vs. Tracy Cortez (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)$81.80Jul 11, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Farid Basharat vs. John Garza (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)$20.85Jul 11, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$72.68Jul 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Gandra win by KO or TKO?$173.73Jul 11, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Gandra win by KO or TKO?$82.16Jul 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Cody Durden vs. Alessandro Costa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)$82.60Jul 11, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYO/U 0.5 Rounds AND O/U 2.5 Rounds AND O/U 1.5 Rounds AND O/U 0.5 Rounds$1.46Jul 11, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$169.23Jul 11, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$54.01Jul 11, 20:35 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$7.74Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total Corners AND France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners$84.54Jul 9, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
35% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $152.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.