Old-Plier
0x27a68d5babb2bac38b92123d9224dee51cb4fbd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-249.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 26?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
640 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
530 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.07
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
424 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
260 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
130 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
111 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 7, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$6.00Feb 19, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$9.00Jan 16, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.75Jan 14, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 13, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 6, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$19.63Nov 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$20.00Nov 25, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$8.50Nov 25, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$2.00Nov 19, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$55.56Nov 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$3.00Nov 11, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$15.00Nov 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$10.00Nov 5, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$61.47Nov 5, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.00Nov 3, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$56.00Nov 3, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Nov 3, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $13.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 14, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".