Fickle-Reasoning
0x27a7c868b6473ac094827a3922f06ed5f559cd66
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$59.11
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
28 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$17.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$5.23
$0.23
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
7 shares @ 74.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
661 shares @ 90.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$18.19Jun 13, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$10.05Jun 13, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$1.52Jun 12, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$144.93Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$40.95Jun 11, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$95.88Jun 11, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$106.50Jun 8, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$100.43Jun 5, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-17?$5.04Jun 2, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$5.05Jun 2, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$5.05Jun 2, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$10.03Jun 2, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$1.02Jun 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$5.07Jun 2, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$5.03Jun 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$1.02Jun 2, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$5.05Jun 2, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$640.37May 28, 13:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $107.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 01:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.