Wise-Keyboard
0x27abdfc9393c72a6330a3be987da4b46c726e521
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.09
Total PnL
$101.2K
Realised
$265.9K
Win rate
100%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22188 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.09
$-682.28
- YES
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
145620 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.9K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $170B by December 31?$20.00Jul 23, 19:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$42.21Jul 20, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.30Jul 20, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.89Jul 20, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vučić officially leave office by July 17?$20.00Jul 18, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?$5.00Jul 18, 06:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
69/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 76 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
76 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $0.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.