Pertinent-Sandpaper
0x27bf71d8b5abc8cf97da465c94355aa26f92f9d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$4.32
Total PnL
$-241.12
Realised
$-0.97
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?
81 shares @ 7.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.68
$-2.47
- YES
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.63
$-1.37
- YES
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.12
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
537 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.06
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
413 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.54
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
215 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
146 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
94 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals
86 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.77
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.76Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.