0x27cdb7f0b0cfd8406588d7c70a4ecf4da6352556
0x27cdb7f0b0cfd8406588d7c70a4ecf4da6352556
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$195.90
Total PnL
$-161.03
Realised
$39.47
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7?
196 shares @ 33.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2021$195.90
$129.46
- NO
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office?
688 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2021$0.00
$-45.79
- NO
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7?
479 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2021$0.00
$-52.14
- NO
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address?
444 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2021$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021?
280 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021?
182 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2021$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
164 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10?
137 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2021$0.00
$-34.23
- NO
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
110 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2021$0.00
$-25.47
- YES
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021?
81 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2021$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.