0x27cdb7f0b0cfd8406588d7c70a4ecf4da6352556
0x27cdb7f0b0cfd8406588d7c70a4ecf4da6352556
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$195.90
Total PnL
$-161.03
Realised
$39.47
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7?
196 shares @ 33.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2021$195.90
$129.46
- NO
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office?
688 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2021$0.00
$-45.79
- NO
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7?
479 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2021$0.00
$-52.14
- NO
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address?
444 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2021$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021?
280 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021?
182 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2021$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
164 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10?
137 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2021$0.00
$-34.23
- NO
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021?
110 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2021$0.00
$-25.47
- YES
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021?
81 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2021$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWhat will Beeple's “Ocean Front” sell for in its Nifty Gateway auction?$0.00May 27, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMWhat will Beeple's “Ocean Front” sell for in its Nifty Gateway auction?$8.02May 27, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMHow many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office?$2.26May 27, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5?$29.04May 27, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address?$404.63May 27, 02:27 UTC
- MERGEWill Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021?$0.00Apr 1, 20:26 UTC
- MERGEWill 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?$0.99Mar 17, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 03:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 02:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".