Joyous-Muskrat-Login
0x27da7156c6758662388a8263ba1d901e2874b57f
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
99
Open notional
$44.53
Total PnL
$-135.88
Realised
$-3.90
Win rate
0%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 99- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 13?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.78
$0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 13?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.36
$0.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 14?$1.02Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 14?$1.02Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 14?$1.02Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?$1.02Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 14?$1.02Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 14?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 14?$1.02Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 15?$1.02Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 15?$1.02Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 15?$1.01Aug 13, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?$1.43Aug 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 13?$1.22Aug 13, 06:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
37 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 22:09 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 08:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.