Humble-Precipitation
0x27da7fa22aa2704ac3c1ba77233d86956e31d24a
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$28.98
Total PnL
$-680.41
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?
11 shares @ 74.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$8.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
8 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.80
$-0.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in May 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?
10 shares @ 21.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.45
$-1.70
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Chamath Palihapitiya as next Fed Chair in 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" or "Iran" 4+ times during WEF Address on January 21?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on May 6?$6.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on May 6?$5.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Cookie" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill "Influencer" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?$2.001d ago
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Thunder$5.021d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?$8.011d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?$10.091d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?$8.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?$10.012d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 4?$1.072d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$8.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.002d ago
- REDEEMWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-03?$7.552d ago
- REDEEMWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?$4.842d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?$3.032d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?$4.012d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?$6.052d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?$4.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?$6.003d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?$3.003d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
