Wallet digest

active

Activity score

58/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$5.14

Total PnL

$-16.3K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 53

YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025
$1.05
$0.05
YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.05
$0.05
YES
Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
1 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$1.03
$0.03
NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.00
$0.00
NO
Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$1.00
$0.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-1.0K
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025
$0.00
$-500.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$14.70Dec 11, 02:52 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$15.00Dec 11, 02:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$250.00Dec 11, 02:48 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$500.00Dec 11, 02:46 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$250.00Dec 11, 01:27 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$250.00Dec 11, 01:25 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$250.00Dec 11, 01:23 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$250.00Dec 11, 01:21 UTC
REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.04Dec 11, 01:16 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 10:04 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 09:48 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 09:14 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 09:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:52 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:50 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 08:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$500.00Dec 10, 08:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 08:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 07:58 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$250.00Dec 10, 07:37 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity37 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry89 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk63 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 30
Avg trade size: $192.66
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 3, 07:38 UTC
Last active: Dec 11, 02:52 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 22:21:49 UTC·src:Polymarket Data