Flat-Gentleman
0x27ee4f1417d4112e0e07947e11c53f95ce0ba1de
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.3K
Realised
$-940.59
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
16408 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.7K
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
14684 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.3K
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
3366 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?
2079 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-546.52
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?
1651 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2025$0.00
$-238.93
- YES
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals
1449 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Slovenia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
1056 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?
900 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-27.90
- YES
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?
607 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-97.78
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?$0.00Jul 25, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals$104.65Jul 19, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$103.70Jul 19, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDani Olmo: 1+ goals$41.68Jul 19, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?$313.42Jul 19, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ryan Fox win the 2026 The Open Championship?$201.00Jul 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$689.69Jul 14, 19:06 UTC
- REDEEMLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 14, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$153.85Jul 14, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$536.72Jul 14, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$404.96Jul 10, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$101.75Jul 10, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals$207.00Jul 10, 19:24 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.70Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.93Jul 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$648.67Jul 7, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$1.6KJul 7, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.6KJul 7, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$1.2KJul 7, 09:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-06?$1.3KJul 6, 21:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 05:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.