Specific-Toad
0x27fa3749e446f1904c3bfcd4f1652940470b6542
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.37
Total PnL
$-8.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon register the America Party in July?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.04
$2.04
- NO
Israel military action against Iran in July?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3100 in July?
3 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$1.00Jul 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$0.99Jul 10, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3100 in July?$2.00Jul 8, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$5.00Jul 8, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran in July?$1.00Jul 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 4–11?$1.00Jul 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?$1.00Jul 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$2.00Jul 8, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 8, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$5.00Jul 8, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".