Orange-Disarmament
0x2809a637d8e3ee2eb1f05670398523aec76610dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$-49.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
4141 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.0K
$-46.20
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
477 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 22, 2026$476.20
$-0.24
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 40.6¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.56
$-0.44
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- OVER
Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$476.47May 18, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$28.88May 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$191.94May 17, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$180.23May 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$260.25May 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$117.20May 14, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.1KMay 14, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$221.41May 14, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$221.22May 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$103.14May 13, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$416.95May 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$163.34May 13, 03:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.0KMay 13, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$232.28May 13, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$90.23May 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$97.62May 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$28.34May 13, 01:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$654.24May 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.6KMay 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$4.7KMay 12, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $889.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 16:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".