Intentional-Monopoly
0x280bd8f2986a56874b9a007bc6a7375bf8bd3c4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-32.50
Win rate
0%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
600 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-422.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
372 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-168.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
270 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-137.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
120 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-64.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
93 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
90 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-31.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
80 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-40.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
62 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-39.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
62 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-42.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
62 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-40.50
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$1.16Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$62.00Jul 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$20.34Jul 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$20.04Jul 17, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$93.00Jul 17, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$23.96Jul 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$20.64Jul 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$18.43Jul 17, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$31.00Jul 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$23.54Jul 17, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$31.00Jul 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$26.04Jul 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$24.25Jul 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$23.96Jul 17, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$22.35Jul 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$19.12Jul 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$22.16Jul 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$21.25Jul 17, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$62.00Jul 17, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$16.66Jul 17, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 20:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.