Sweltering-Front
0x2810e0546acb11254bd883d09dfe1efdf24bd40f
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$205.88
Total PnL
$-666.70
Realised
$-4.46
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 72.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$93.00
$-51.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 88.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$59.50
$-28.50
- YES
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$17.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
102 shares @ 39.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$17.32
$-22.41
- YES
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$14.75
$-0.25
- YES
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
31 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.56
$-2.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?
204 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 1?
187 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 9?
169 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?
118 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-31.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95Jun 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.05Jun 12, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.00Jun 11, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$95.07Jun 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$35.70Jun 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.45Jun 11, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10?$20.00Jun 10, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10?$1.08Jun 10, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10?$0.90Jun 10, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10?$1.40Jun 10, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10?$0.52Jun 10, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10?$1.30Jun 8, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$6.71Jun 7, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$88.00Jun 7, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$144.00Jun 7, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$17.07May 31, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$71.68May 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?$0.15May 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?$0.15May 10, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?$0.15May 10, 18:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.