Adored-Still
0x281779e4ee486efa7ac2e38887eee7452928505a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.51
Total PnL
$-20.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$2.27
$0.27
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
97 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Trump sentenced to no prison time?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
19 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
16 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump gets more black voters than in 2020?$3.00Oct 29, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4.00Oct 29, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$3.00Oct 29, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?$0.00Oct 29, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iran on Thursday Oct 24?$3.23Oct 29, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300 or more times October 18-25?$5.33Oct 29, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $7.39Oct 29, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $69,000 on October 25?$2.00Oct 24, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $2.00Oct 24, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iran on Monday or earlier?$2.20Oct 24, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 16 and 20 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?$2.00Oct 21, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump sentenced to no prison time?$1.00Oct 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Iran on Thursday Oct 24?$3.00Oct 21, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $3.00Oct 21, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300 or more times October 18-25?$4.00Oct 21, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$1.00Oct 21, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $1.00Oct 21, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win 1-2% of the popular vote?$1.00Oct 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?$1.00Oct 21, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlobal heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024?$0.49Oct 21, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 00:18 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 29, 18:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".