Wallet digest

active

Activity score

66/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$14.63

Total PnL

$-181.22

Realised

$-8.48

Win rate

60%

5 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 28

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
7 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$7.42
$0.22
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
7 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026
$7.21
$0.22
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
11 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026
$0.00
$-9.21
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026
$0.00
$-7.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026
$0.00
$-6.97
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-6.12
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$0.00
$-6.99
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026
$0.00
$-6.99

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.01Feb 27, 19:00 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$7.43Feb 27, 18:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$6.84Feb 27, 18:50 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$6.37Feb 27, 17:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$7.00Feb 27, 17:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$7.21Feb 27, 17:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$6.99Feb 27, 17:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Feb 27, 16:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Feb 27, 16:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$7.08Feb 27, 16:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$7.00Feb 27, 16:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$7.13Feb 27, 16:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$6.78Feb 27, 16:40 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$0.01Feb 27, 16:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$7.52Feb 27, 16:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$7.00Feb 27, 16:06 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.01Feb 27, 16:05 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.67Feb 27, 15:53 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$2.53Feb 27, 15:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$6.42Feb 27, 15:53 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence17 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry7 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk60 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 38
Avg trade size: $6.60
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 27, 09:04 UTC
Last active: Feb 27, 19:00 UTC
Win rate sample: 5 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:11:54 UTC·src:Polymarket Data