0x281d336e2c8714e1c75e569532906436da95e11b
0x281d336e2c8714e1c75e569532906436da95e11b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$17.24
Total PnL
$-18.57
Realised
$0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$5.19
$0.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- YES
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
53 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.75
$-0.44
- YES
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.48
$0.34
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.02
$-0.15
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?
14 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.89
$-0.20
- YES
Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
68 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.38
$0.31
- YES
Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?
68 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.27
$-1.60
- YES
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
61 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.45
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
27 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.07
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$0.00Apr 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4.95Apr 17, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$5.14Apr 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$4.95Apr 17, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.14Apr 17, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$4.95Apr 17, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$4.95Apr 17, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$4.95Apr 16, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$2.40Apr 16, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.80Apr 14, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$0.03Apr 10, 18:14 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.06Apr 10, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.41Apr 10, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$0.85Apr 10, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$0.32Apr 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 10?$0.07Apr 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$0.14Apr 10, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?$0.03Apr 10, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $365-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?$0.78Apr 10, 14:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 12:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".