Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

137

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-11.1K

Realised

$-5.4K

Win rate

111 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 137

UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
1357 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-111.47
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
925 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$0.00
$-249.65
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
797 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-405.04
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
462 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-219.62
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
400 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026
$0.00
$-183.78
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
316 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-116.37
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
288 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-132.10
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
273 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-99.88
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
250 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-132.72
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
232 shares @ 44.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026
$0.00
$-103.79

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 15:50 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$8.87Feb 17, 15:41 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$26.32Feb 17, 15:34 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 15:25 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$20.41Feb 17, 15:17 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.94Feb 17, 15:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.05Feb 17, 15:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$8.74Feb 17, 15:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.26Feb 17, 15:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$10.00Feb 17, 14:30 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$24.05Feb 17, 13:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$9.51Feb 17, 13:38 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$37.72Feb 17, 13:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$9.83Feb 17, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$4.56Feb 17, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.43Feb 17, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0.82Feb 17, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$9.49Feb 17, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$12.14Feb 17, 13:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$1.11Feb 17, 13:20 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry96 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk26 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 44
Avg trade size: $5.13
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 17, 11:21 UTC
Last active: Feb 17, 15:50 UTC
Win rate sample: 111 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:07:04 UTC·src:Polymarket Data